Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.424350 0.489403 0.560129 0.642606 0.736014 0.838384 0.958937
2025-09-21 0.304082 0.390530 0.493804 0.625673 0.788923 0.983685 1.232874
2025-09-28 0.237003 0.330014 0.449207 0.611876 0.826634 1.098806 1.467939
2025-10-05 0.202041 0.300611 0.434348 0.626906 0.894463 1.250053 1.754720
2025-10-12 0.181216 0.285494 0.434073 0.657956 0.982715 1.431776 2.093495
2025-10-19 0.160792 0.267022 0.425319 0.673908 1.048756 1.585767 2.403926
2025-10-26 0.141978 0.247737 0.412071 0.680217 1.099234 1.719268 2.692969
2025-11-02 0.124796 0.228272 0.395573 0.678586 1.135831 1.833085 2.959136
2025-11-09 0.108894 0.208500 0.375827 0.668831 1.157474 1.924096 3.195203
2025-11-16 0.095522 0.191121 0.357713 0.659175 1.177230 2.012012 3.430651
2025-11-23 0.082274 0.172018 0.334220 0.637437 1.174099 2.061762 3.606873
2025-11-30 0.078862 0.170947 0.342419 0.671548 1.268121 2.275837 4.063929
2025-12-07 0.068679 0.155422 0.322764 0.654135 1.271810 2.341105 4.281335
2025-12-14 0.059797 0.141274 0.304087 0.636586 1.273647 2.403314 4.498201
2025-12-21 0.052506 0.129356 0.288255 0.622545 1.280135 2.473220 4.731924
2025-12-28 0.048988 0.125189 0.287486 0.637810 1.342746 2.647065 5.160306
2026-01-04 0.047258 0.124833 0.294528 0.669351 1.439001 2.888109 5.724332
2026-01-11 0.044340 0.121248 0.294233 0.685555 1.506043 3.078833 6.206883
2026-01-18 0.040933 0.115967 0.289585 0.691963 1.553610 3.235365 6.634327
2026-01-25 0.037305 0.109566 0.281642 0.690307 1.584151 3.360531 7.008785
2026-02-01 0.033522 0.102170 0.270518 0.680398 1.596360 3.450190 7.319482
2026-02-08 0.030158 0.095355 0.259945 0.670590 1.607742 3.538457 7.631938
2026-02-15 0.026487 0.087075 0.244787 0.648508 1.590324 3.566909 7.826498